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Wednesday, October 10, 2012

The Winter of Our Discontent: Josh Hamilton


Joshua Holt Hamilton has been a Texas Ranger for five years. He has been described in this time as "exciting" "frustrating"  "a transcendent baseball talent" "an addict" and "incredible," among other, more precise  descriptions.  He once hit four home runs in a game - tying the major league record, something that is more rare than a perfect game - and then he saw a total of 8 pitches while going 0-for-3 in a one game playoff situation against a team some call the "Rangers East." He is living a story that some would call miraculous, but the very nature of it causes him to be questioned every day in the echo-chamber of the internet.

Hamilton is also a free agent as of last Friday night and is rumoured to be looking for a contract in the "insane" range. At this point it is fairly obvious that the Rangers are not looking to re-sign Hamilton, and an anonymous member of the front office supposedly said that even if he were looking to play for free, they didn't want him back. Yet, earlier this very season, there were clamors of "Pay that man!" and many a post bemoaning what would become of the offense if he wasn't sitting in that familiar third spot in the lineup.

It's Been a While...

...and basically a whole baseball season has passed by without me actually writing anything for this platform. Part of that is that you can now find me every morning, usually before 11:00 AM, over on OurDailyBears.com rounding up that morning's links about Baylor Athletics. Part of that is that 140 characters is pretty addicting, and you can usually find me ranting about things over on Twitter. And part of that is that I just hadn't had any decent ideas for a longform piece.

Today begins part one of what will hopefully be a series (though it might be a while between parts, due to a few lingering midterms) about the frustrating, disappointing, occasionally thrilling, and interesting 2012 Texas Rangers. I hope to have part one of "The Winter of Our Discontent" up by midnight tonight, addressing the free agent centerfielder with the interesting past-Josh Hamilton. I'll be looking at both the man and the myth and the massive amount of money he supposedly wants.

I hope to have this blog buzzing a little bit more between my off-season writing and Baylor football and basketball posts, so keep checking back!

Friday, May 11, 2012

On CJ Wilson: The Free Market and "Jokes."

Tonight is the first night that CJ Wilson will pitch in Rangers Ballpark in Arlington since departing the Texas Rangers for the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. The reception from the crowd is predicted to be chilly, with about a 100% chance of boos.

I, personally, have mixed feelings on the subject of CJ Wilson. I cannot be angry at him for leaving, simply because the fact is that the Rangers were not going to pay him to stay. I cannot be mad at him for going to the Angels, because what player doesn't want to be on what is projected to be a contending team.   His numbers don't allow me to proclaim that he "sucked," because, quite simply, he didn't and doesn't. On the other hand, some of his actions have made me glad that the Rangers did not want to pay him, and that he's no longer on the team, but I will not deny that no small part of that is because we now live in the age of Yu Darvish and I don't have to be worried about that spot in the rotation.

CJ Wilson was a very good pitcher, and not a bad teammate, for the time that he was here. In fact, a great deal of his former teammates still say he's a friend. He gave us 7 really good seasons, and was consistent before the Rangers had consistent pitching. Because he was so good, his price tag rose accordingly. I can't judge him for that. Anyone who is putting out quality work has the ability to ask for what they feel they deserve. Wilson felt that he deserved a number that the Texas Rangers (who already had their eyes on Yu Darvish) did not feel comfortable paying. There's nothing wrong there. That's business. That's modern baseball.

Things begin to get a bit complicated when you take a look at what happened off the field. There was an incident where CJ Wilson tweeted out (as an apparent "prank") Texas Rangers C/1B Mike Napoli's phone number. There were the quotes about the off season, and his former team that put some fans on edge. Is him being a jerk enough reason to boo him? I'm not sure. A lot of professional athletes are also professional jerks, and being a jerk is not an automatic ticket to boo-ing. The one thing that diminishes him for me is the "ball flipping" incident. That sign of disrespect is not enough for me to boo him, but was enough for me to not be heartbroken (or even particularly sad) when he left the team. Was it stupid? Yes. Did he probably regret it the second he did it? Most likely. Did it have any real effect on him going to the Angels? No. When any "star" athlete leaves a team, there is always going to be a reaction, a backlash, if you will. The fact that he went to the division rivals doesn't help, but in my eyes, that doesn't black out the fact that he left because the Texas Rangers let him.

At this point, you're probably thinking something along the lines of "Well, they didn't want to pay him the selfish amount of money he wanted! He wasn't that good! He thought he was worth too much!"
Professional athletes, as a whole, are selfish. You can't be a pro athlete without being selfish, to some degree. I'm not saying this as a condemnation, but simply as a statement of fact. As charismatic, as giving, as community-oriented as a player may be, if they are in an elite group, then they are still making more money than I would ever hope to see. Again, CJ Wilson (and his agent, and whatever sources he consulted) felt that he was worth more than the Rangers were willing to pay. This is something that happens all the time. Josh Hamilton (a perennial fan favourite) is most likely going to ask for an extremely large amount of money come contract negotiations. Will the fans boo him if/when he plays at RBiA not in a Rangers uniform? Only time will tell, but I have a feeling the answer would be no.

Personally, I hope CJ Wilson loses tonight. I hope the Rangers' offense crushes every single pitch he throws and thus works to the Angels' provenly awful bullpen early. Do I hope this because he's CJ Wilson? No. I want this because it's a game, and I'm a fan. I want my team to win.

Boo CJ Wilson, or not. That doesn't change the fact that this is one of the more stellar pitching matchups that we, as fans, will see all season. No matter what the crowd does, this will be a fantastic game.


Saturday, May 5, 2012

Fun with Numbers: More Questions.

When attempting to weight wins by using an outside economic value, there really two options that you can choose from: revenue or budget. Simply put, if you were to use revenue, you'd be weighting wins by what they mean to the community. If you use budget, then you are weighting wins by what they mean to the university.

The problem lies in trying to decide which one of these is more accurate. Is, say, the 10 wins you get out of $X million v 40 wins out of $Y million a better factor than $X million 10 wins brings in v $Y million 40 wins brings in? Or would the true test be to see how both numbers compare?

Currently, it looks like I'm going to need to recalculate win percentage for the Big 12 in 2010-2011, since that is what I can find revenue numbers for.

Honestly, I'm wondering how empirical this can be. How much does prior success point to future profit? How much does a year of failure (Texas, Texas Tech, 2012 A&M for examples) affect the revenue/budget of the next year?

I'm probably going to be working on this all summer, even if it is to just look at it in the end and decide that there is no accurate way to determine such things.

Fun with Numbers: What Exactly is the Worth of a Win?

Over on OurDailyBears I've done some huge agglomerated standings for the Big 12, the point of which was to show the overall strength of the member school's athletics program. Baylor topped that out at (as of the publication date) an astounding .750 win percentage across 6 sports, which was no surprise to those of us who follow the Big 12 and Baylor in particular.

I've been thinking since then, however, about exactly how accurate those standings are. Oh, they're completely accurate from a mathematical point of view, but there are some flaws.

We all know that, especially in Texas, football is king. It gets the most money, it gains the most money, and it rules schedules and pocketbooks from September to January. Yet its 13 game season gets dwarfed in the 30-40 games played by both basketball teams and the 50 or so games played by baseball, not to mention volleyball and softball. Agglomerated standings such as mine tend to reflect a program's success in the "little" sports more than football, simply because they comprise the largest part of the whole.

How does one go about rectifying this? How can you make football appear as large in the standings as it appears in the national consciousness? How can you truly calculate the "worth" of each win?

Sunday, April 29, 2012

Only Slightly Off Topic: In Response to Joe Cowley








How do I even begin to respond to this? As a female sports blogger (one who needs to keep up with a more regular schedule, I will admit), something in me feels obligated to respond to this "media meltdown," as Deadspin.com so cleverly labelles it. Actually, I should remove the "sports blogger." As a female, as a human being, I feel compelled to address this in a public forum.

Now, I know that this particular twitter conversation is not about sports, but rather about an idiot who feels that women are only there to dote upon his "MrHandsome"-ness and that only men should have the responsibility of holding high-risk jobs. I know that this exchange only peripherally touches on Sloane Martin's profession as a baseball writer and blogger, and that there is so much here that I could write about. Because this is my sports blog, and this is what I have experience writing about, I'm going to write about sports-one of the last few areas where men can feel free to by misogynistic and cruel and derogatory.

As many of you know, I'm a regular poster on both OurDailyBears.com and LoneStarBall.com, the SBNation sites for the Baylor Bears and the Texas Rangers, respectively. Up until a little over a week ago, I did not make it overtly public that I was (gasp) a girl. Yes, it was in my profile information, but no one actually reads that. In fact, when I decided to add "I'm a girl and I do stats when I'm bored. Deal with it." to my sig, it came as a shock to some people.

Now then, in this age of equality (as I've been told several times), why did I feel it necessary to disguise the fact that I was a female sports fan? It was because I felt that my opinions would be dismissed, my amateur expertise disclaimed and my self harassed simply because I don't share the same genitalia as the majority of internet-going sports fans. Before you pull the "suspicious without reason" card, this has happened to me in the past, in person. It is the absolute most humiliating experience to attempt to discuss baseball with a group of guys (most of whom I thought would never do this) and be dismissed, fact checked, and laughed at for attempting to assert that one player was statistically better than the other (I was right, by the way.)

Why is it that we are still in a place where the "female sports fan/writer" is still an exotic animal? Why is that male sportswriters can make cracks about Title IX and telling a fellow sportswriter to "hottie up [her] pic" and not be immediately condemned or fired by his employer? Why is it that I feel the need immediately start on the defensive any time I make a stats post on ODB?

I will admit, I have been fairly lucky. The folks over at LSB have been decent-to-awesome, and the one time an obvious troll went after me, the general response was to mock and decry him. I've also been around on the internet for a very long time, so I'm well versed in ignoring idiots. It's just that whenever this kind of thing happens-sports related or not-it deserves to be called out by every person who can.

If you think that women cannot hold high profile stress filled jobs, you are wrong. If you think that it is funny to assert that women are lesser than men, you are wrong. And if you think that you won't get called out on it if you do, you are most certainly completely and totally wrong.


BREAKING: Joe Cowley deleted his twitter account. That's one way to deal with things.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

I did not make this .gif

But it is so beautiful that I have to post it.

Look at that. Just look at it.

That's just ridiculous.

[Late!] Rangers Thoughts! (2-0 over the Yankees)

Well, that was an interesting game. I meant to have this post up last night, but I kept getting distracted watching .gifs of the pitching.

I actually started watching this game with a really good feeling. Having seen Yu Darvish's improvement across his other starts, I thought that he could at least have a good night. I, however, wasn't even remotely prepared for the wonderful baseball sight that I was about to behold.

I'm no pitching expert and I will be the first to admit that. I've watched baseball my whole life, and everything I know comes from that (and independent study of internet resources, usually around finals time). Last night was some of the best pitching I've seen my entire life, and yes, I'm counting watching Cliff Lee with the Rangers.

Honestly, I didn't know that baseballs could do what they were doing last night*. After the scary top of the 3rd, he just seemed to get better and better and better. I could tell just watching him how much more poise and confidence there seemed to be. As someone intimately acquainted with nerves, his first two starts looked jittery. This time, however, I could tell there was a difference when he took the mound in the first. Even from out here in Waco I could tell there was a calmness-and that showed in his command.

Yes. Yu Darvish has found his command, and according to him he can still get better. How terrifying that must be to everyone else.

On to the other side of the game. For some reason our offense seems to be cooling off a bit, though that could simply be the effect of facing some elite pitchers in a row. I'll be interested to see how they fare tonight, as well as nervous about how the Yankees fare against Scott Feldman. Ian Kinsler's 429-ft homer in the 1st was a great start, and Josh Hamilton's RBI single in the 3rd inning added a run that would turn out to be all the insurance the Rangers needed.

Elvis Andrus deserves everything for his performance at shortstop yesterday. I might drop a link in here later to the gif of his amazing spin-off-balance-no-look-throw-to-first, because it seriously is that good. I want him to be a Ranger for a very long while. He's gone 50 games without an error, a streak that is ridiculous to even think about.

It's too early to be worried about our offense, honestly, even though they've only scored 11 runs over the last four games, as opposed to 44 in the four games before that. They've faced some very impressive pitchers in these last four games, and I have no doubt that things will begin to pick up again soon. In the same vein, I will plead neutrality on the subject of Mitch Moreland, for the time being. I don't think that it's quite time to be calling for his replacement, but I do wonder who that substitute could be.

Tonight's game is the last in this series, and starts at 7:05 CT. The Rangers have tomorrow off, and play the first in a 3 game series against Tampa Bay on Friday at 7:05 CT.






*I knew, I just didn't quite believe it.

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Quincy Miller to Leave Baylor for NBA

Baylor F Quincy Miller has decided to leave Baylor in order to be eligible for the NBA draft.

I know that a lot of people are going to be very angry about this news, and honestly, while I think that anger is an overreaction, I can't blame them. Quincy held a press conference earlier this month announcing that he would be staying at Baylor for another year, and those of us who like to try to predict things way before their time gladly pencilled him into our imaginary line-ups. I, for one, was really excited to hear that he was staying. I felt that he could really benefit from another year of college basketball and (selfishly, as a Baylor fan) that the team would be better than even this year with his experience and talents setting the tone.

If Quincy has been assured that he will be a draft pick and will get a contract this year, then I can definitely understand his decision to leave. There is always the spectre of injury that looms over every year not playing with a guaranteed pay-check and sometimes the risk-reward scales tip in favour of leaving. As an objective viewpoint-he made the best decision for him.

As a fan, however, I do wish that this had happened before he had announced that he was staying. It hurts us, as a university fanbase, to think that he's spurning the opportunity to lead our [his] team to greater heights (some of us were likely even daydreaming about NCAA titles). When someone says that they love their team, love their school, and love their fans the way that he did, it is a shock when things suddenly happen like this. However, Mark C Moore (from Our Daily Bears) has it right- Quincy didn't stop being a Baylor Bear today.

I wish him the best of luck, and, for his sake, I hope that leaving Baylor was indeed the right choice to make. As a fan, I can only think longingly of what could have been.


Sunday, April 15, 2012

The Unlikely Fanatic is back!

So I know that it's been a very long time since I actually bothered to post anything on here. Sometimes, college is frustrating like that.

The Year of the Bear. That's what everyone is calling this crazy time here at Baylor University. If you had pulled me aside as a freshman and told me that when I was a junior, I not only would still be in marching band, but Baylor Football would be 10-3, have won the Alamo Bowl and that RG3 would have a Heisman, I would have laughed in your face. If you had told me that the men's baseketball team would have made the Elite Eight and started their season 17-0, I wouldn't have laughed quite as hard but I might have wondered what drugs you were on. The only team I might have believed you about would have been the Lady Bears, and that was just because I knew that Kim Mulkey rocked.

Of course, it didn't help that my freshman year I didn't really care. I only got in to the Lady Bears when they were in the NCAA tourney, and I could have cared less about any other sport (except Texas Rangers baseball, but more on that later).

I would go on about how I became a sports fan, but that's an op/ed column for another time. What I am here to say is that we are at 80 wins in major sports, Baylor Baseball is tearing it up, and this blog is no longer just about Baylor.

I'm an unlikely fan of many things, but I am a totally likely fan of baseball. I've been watching Rangers baseball since I was 4, and listening since before even then. I figured it was time for me to actually stretch my sportswriting legs and talk a bit about some baseball. Expect gameday wrap-ups (except for days where, because of life, I miss the game entirely), player[s] of the game, and the inexpert analysis of someone who's been watching her whole life.

I'll also still be posting about Baylor sports, so don't worry. Come fall, there will still be far too long diatribes on various football games, and I'll be able to bring you my "courtside" view of basketball games all season long.

Sic 'Em, and Let's Go!
Kate

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Well, it's been a while.

And I never delivered that bowl recap I promised. That'll be going up soon, but for now, let me just say that it was exhausting, exhilarating and fantastic.

Baylor Sports Recap du jour:

  • We are now 37-0 in "money making" sports since the beginning of November. This is the Baylor that everyone wanted out of the Big 12? 
  • Baylor Men's Basketball won a heartstopping game last night, 75-73 over Kansas State. Oklahoma State is next, then another hard test in Kansas. 
  • Baylor Lady Bears play OSU tonight (7:00 PM CT, Ferrell Center). This should be an interesting, and emotional, game. 
  • Robert Griffin III is going to the NFL. I wish him all the best as he leaves Baylor. (No, I'm not wiping a tear away from my eye, why do you ask? Okay, maybe I am.) I'll be doing a seperate link aggregate post over this, so look out for that.

On tap for this week: Bowl game recap, Lady Bears "fast five", what exactly all this winning means to a fan who's used to losing, and more!